Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.700630 0.801645 0.911181 1.038660 1.182826 1.340688 1.526529
2025-02-02 0.570426 0.713115 0.880868 1.092124 1.350527 1.655745 2.043030
2025-02-09 0.456048 0.618716 0.824691 1.103397 1.469292 1.931754 2.558895
2025-02-16 0.367105 0.537435 0.768450 1.102353 1.569886 2.198072 3.102285
2025-02-23 0.301113 0.473160 0.721819 1.103680 1.670706 2.475916 3.698771
2025-03-02 0.249272 0.418526 0.678065 1.099623 1.760293 2.747060 4.320323
2025-03-09 0.213499 0.381194 0.652795 1.117251 1.881868 3.077366 5.068881
2025-03-16 0.179708 0.340302 0.614311 1.106305 1.954664 3.339152 5.741696
2025-03-23 0.158633 0.317164 0.600928 1.133683 2.091873 3.717405 6.644032
2025-03-30 0.135709 0.286150 0.568306 1.121472 2.157661 3.982171 7.384748
2025-04-06 0.120253 0.266485 0.552935 1.137507 2.274366 4.345703 8.334990
2025-04-13 0.102514 0.238764 0.517485 1.109381 2.303919 4.554702 9.028522
2025-04-20 0.093989 0.229350 0.517684 1.153061 2.480028 5.058897 10.335415
2025-04-27 0.087691 0.223742 0.524940 1.212394 2.695383 5.662691 11.901297
2025-05-04 0.078435 0.209482 0.511252 1.225051 2.816205 6.094907 13.179239
2025-05-11 0.069487 0.194179 0.492696 1.224038 2.907490 6.477276 14.398368
2025-05-18 0.061915 0.180817 0.476413 1.225589 3.004216 6.880950 15.704579
2025-05-25 0.055018 0.167810 0.458792 1.221166 3.086455 7.262069 17.002756
2025-06-01 0.050185 0.159486 0.451467 1.240661 3.226690 7.784549 18.662852
2025-06-08 0.044512 0.147544 0.432776 1.228600 3.289387 8.139388 19.985311
2025-06-15 0.041248 0.142101 0.430532 1.258836 3.459972 8.759354 21.974769
2025-06-22 0.036714 0.131738 0.412959 1.245366 3.518061 9.120830 23.398028
2025-06-29 0.033758 0.125811 0.407034 1.263071 3.659304 9.696609 25.389018